Post by ojc123 on Nov 18, 2012 21:44:13 GMT
I've followed hockey since the 1960's off and on. One thing that's puzzled me for a long time is the practice of pulling the netminder with about two minutes to go. I'm sure some people who know more about this than me will be able to convince me of the logic of pulling the netminder.
I hear the argument that losing by two goals or one goal makes no difference. I cannot disagree with that.
However, on numerous occasions the team that pulls it's netminder then loses an empty net goal. That team is now two goals down with perhaps a minute to play and the game is now beyond reach.
Now, it seems to me that:
a) if your team is capable of holding the puck well on the powerplay
b) if your team rarely looks vulnerable to a shorthanded goal on the powerplay
c) if your goalkeeper hasn't been called into action much during the game
then perhaps pulling the netminder might be a reasonable course of action. (I might also argue that team is unlikely to be losing.)
However, if none of these conditions are met then it seems to me to make more sense to keep your netminder on to try to keep the deficit down to one goal and hope your standard offence can get the equaliser.
I've seen discussions about this before.
eg
thecageforum.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=Hockey&action=print&thread=13117
This article
www.thesportsroundup.com/2011/11/pulling-goalie-savvy-or-stupid.html
And this short treatment of a statistical work
canuckscorner.com/tombenjamin/2006/02/13/poisson-pills/
Or is the whole business about the drama of the last minute do-or-die attempt to rescue the game rather than cold logic?
Opinions welcome. I'm hoping to be convinced.
I hear the argument that losing by two goals or one goal makes no difference. I cannot disagree with that.
However, on numerous occasions the team that pulls it's netminder then loses an empty net goal. That team is now two goals down with perhaps a minute to play and the game is now beyond reach.
Now, it seems to me that:
a) if your team is capable of holding the puck well on the powerplay
b) if your team rarely looks vulnerable to a shorthanded goal on the powerplay
c) if your goalkeeper hasn't been called into action much during the game
then perhaps pulling the netminder might be a reasonable course of action. (I might also argue that team is unlikely to be losing.)
However, if none of these conditions are met then it seems to me to make more sense to keep your netminder on to try to keep the deficit down to one goal and hope your standard offence can get the equaliser.
I've seen discussions about this before.
eg
thecageforum.proboards.com/index.cgi?board=Hockey&action=print&thread=13117
This article
www.thesportsroundup.com/2011/11/pulling-goalie-savvy-or-stupid.html
And this short treatment of a statistical work
canuckscorner.com/tombenjamin/2006/02/13/poisson-pills/
Or is the whole business about the drama of the last minute do-or-die attempt to rescue the game rather than cold logic?
Opinions welcome. I'm hoping to be convinced.